Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
| 25.95% ( | 24.99% ( | 49.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% ( | 49.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.07% ( | 71.93% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.23% ( | 33.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.57% ( | 70.42% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( | 20.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% ( | 52.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 3-0 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.95% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0-2 @ 8.71% 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.06% |