Taca de Portugal
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-
Robinho
23'
-
Gabriel Barbosa
25'
-
Edu Pinheiro
27'
-
Robinho
48'
-
Gabriel Barbosa
54'
-
Robinho
85'
-
Pedro Barbosa
44'
Penafiel vs Santa Maria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penafiel win with a probability of 82.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Santa Maria had a probability of 5.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penafiel win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.79%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Santa Maria win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penafiel would win this match.
Result
Penafiel
82.73%
▼
(-0.19)
Draw
12.09%
▲
(+0.06)
Santa Maria
5.19%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
39.17%
▲
(+0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5
63%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 2.5
37%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 3.5
40.81%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 3.5
59.18%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 4.5
22.8%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 4.5
77.2%
▼
(-0.30)
Penafiel Goals
Over 0.5
93.3%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
6.7%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
75.2%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
24.8%
▼
(-0.09)
Santa Maria Goals
Over 0.5
41.98%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 0.5
58.02%
▼
(-0.69)
Over 1.5
10.39%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
89.61%
▼
(-0.37)
Score analysis
Penafiel
82.71%
Draw
12.09%
Santa Maria
5.19%
Penafiel
2-0
@
14.19%
▼
(-0.20)
3-0 @ 12.79% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 10.5% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.04)
6-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.05)
6-1 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 82.71%
3-0 @ 12.79% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 10.5% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.04)
6-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.05)
6-1 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 82.71%
Draw
1-1
@
5.72%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 12.09%
0-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 12.09%
Santa Maria
0-1
@
2.12%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 5.19%
1-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 5.19%