Penafiel
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Vitoria de Setubal

Penafiel
3 - 2
Setubal

Silva (38'), Robinho (61'), Barbosa (96')
Cardoso (39'), Reko (40'), Robinho (86'), Adilio (91'), Barbosa (99'), Balde (113')
FT
(aet)
Teixeira (1' og.), Freitas (77' og.)
Lourenco (31'), Banjai (105')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Penafiel and Vitoria de Setubal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penafiel

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Last Game: Penafiel 3-0 Santa Maria
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
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Vitoria de Setubal

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Leixoes 1-1 Setubal (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penafiel win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penafiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%).

Result
PenafielDrawVitoria de Setubal
46.19% (0.031999999999996 0.03)25.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.09% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)51.46% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)73.27% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Penafiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.26% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)55.7% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Vitoria de Setubal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)32.86% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)69.44% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Penafiel 46.19%
    Vitoria de Setubal 28.09%
    Draw 25.71%
PenafielDrawVitoria de Setubal
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 46.19%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.09%