Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 2
Casa Pia

Youssouf (4')
Chiquinho (51'), Moura (60'), Segovia (60'), Nathan (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cardoso (22'), Moreira (56')
Cardoso (27'), Mukendi (45+3'), Sa (60'), Neto (85'), Paes (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 0-1 Famalicao
Friday, May 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
Sunday, May 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Casa Pia
56.09% ( 0.12)	22.46% ( 0.23)	21.45% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 55.69% (

-1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.47% (

-1.49)

43.53% (

1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.07% (

-1.47)

65.93% (

1.48)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.65% (

-0.47)

15.36% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.87% (

-0.89)

44.13% (

0.89)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79% (

-1.17)

34.21% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.09% (

-1.27)

70.91% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 56.09%

Casa Pia 21.45%

Draw 22.46%

Famalicao	Draw	Casa Pia
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.09%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.45%