Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.