Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 46.12% ( | 27.78% ( | 26.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.8% ( | 60.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.61% ( | 80.38% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( | 26.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.8% ( | 61.19% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.76% ( | 39.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.05% ( | 75.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 13.76% ( 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2% Total : 46.12% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 10.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 26.1% |