Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Famalicao logo

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Famalicao

Cesar (8'), Handel (90+1')
Cesar (29'), Silva (30'), Villanueva (76'), Borevkovic (86'), Gustavo (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vinicios (17')
Youssouf (42'), de Haas (46'), Sa (90'), Dias (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 0-4 Guimaraes
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Famalicao

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Boavista
Saturday, August 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFamalicao
57.17% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)24.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)18.21% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.19% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.74% (0.159 0.16)56.26% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7% (0.13 0.13)77.3% (-0.127 -0.13)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (0.028999999999996 0.03)19.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (0.046999999999997 0.05)51.54% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96% (0.21100000000001 0.21)45.04% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03% (0.168 0.17)80.97% (-0.16300000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.17%
    Famalicao 18.21%
    Draw 24.61%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 14.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 11.72% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 57.17%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 18.21%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Famalicao

Vitoria de Guimaraes
61.9%
Draw
14.3%
Famalicao
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Guimaraes
1-0
Famalicao
Silva (38')
Fernandes (31')

Mihaj (54'), de Haas (59'), Chiquinho (87')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 8
Famalicao
1-3
Guimaraes
Otavio (63')
Moura (11'), Youssouf (71'), Assuncao (81'), Nathan (84')
Mendes (1', 45+4'), Gaspar (77')
Silva (37'), Freitas (48'), Silva (81')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Famalicao
2-1
Guimaraes
Cadiz (10'), Moura (70')
Silva (64')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 11
Guimaraes
3-2
Famalicao
Johnston (21'), Luz (56', 65')
Millan (74', 83')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Guimaraes
2-1
Famalicao
Estupinan (45+1'), Rochinha (47')
Silva (4'), Semedo (34'), Lameiras (65'), Soares (74'), Almeida (88')
Pepe (6')
Batubinsika (37'), Tavares (90+3')
> Preview