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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Zrinjski Mostar
0 - 4
Guimaraes


Mulahusejnovic (7'), Sunjic (13'), Barisic (32')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Silva (32' pen.), Santos (42'), Oliveira (45+4'), Gustavo (71')
Oliveira (13')
Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zrinjski Mostar

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Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Wednesday, August 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
42.09% (0.134 0.13)25.63% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)32.28% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.64% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (0.168 0.17)49.28% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.151 0.15)71.33% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (0.139 0.14)23.26% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.82% (0.201 0.2)57.18% (-0.2 -0.2)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (0.024999999999991 0.02)28.8% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (0.033000000000001 0.03)64.65% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 42.09%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 32.28%
    Draw 25.63%
Zrinjski MostarDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 32.28%

How you voted: Zrinjski Mostar vs Guimaraes

Zrinjski Mostar
8.3%
Draw
25.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2024 5.45pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Guimaraes
3-0
Zrinjski Mostar
Mangas (46'), Borevkovic (51'), Mendes (88')
Borevkovic (12'), Mangas (37'), Santos (42')

Savic (23'), Sunjic (67')