Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Bravo

Zrinjski Mostar
0 - 1
Bravo

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ivansek (16')
Tucic (82'), Selan (85'), Orbanic (90+1')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Zrinjski Mostar and NK Bravo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Celje 2-1 Bravo
Sunday, July 21 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 71.47%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for NK Bravo had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a NK Bravo win it was 1-2 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawNK Bravo
71.47% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)17% (0.018000000000001 0.02)11.52% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.81% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (0.019000000000005 0.02)37.42% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (0.019999999999996 0.02)59.64% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.76% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)9.24% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)31.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
NK Bravo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.09% (0.073999999999998 0.07)42.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.78% (0.061999999999998 0.06)79.22% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 71.46%
    NK Bravo 11.53%
    Draw 17%
Zrinjski MostarDrawNK Bravo
2-0 @ 11.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.55%
4-0 @ 5.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 71.46%
1-1 @ 7.99% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 17%
1-2 @ 3.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.36% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 11.53%