UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 15, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stadion Bijeli Brijeg

Zrinjski Mostar
2 - 0
Botev Plovdiv

(Zrinjski Mostar win 3-2 on aggregate)

Mulahusejnovic (39'), Kis (83')
Mlinar (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nachukwu (28'), Christian Bernat (34'), Tamm (52'), Karabelyov (70'), Perera Calderon (90+7')
Conte (41')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Botev Plovdiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zrinjski Mostar

Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Botev Plovdiv

Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Botev Plovdiv win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Zrinjski Mostar in this match.

Result
Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	Botev Plovdiv
70.59% ( -0.01)	17.27% ( 0.01)	12.14% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.93% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63% (

-0.01)

37% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.81% (

-0)

59.19% (

0.01)

Zrinjski Mostar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.66% (

-0)

9.34% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.52% (

-0.01)

31.48% (

0.01)

Botev Plovdiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.39% (

0.01)

41.61% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.9% (

0.01)

78.1% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Zrinjski Mostar 70.59%

Botev Plovdiv 12.14%

Draw 17.27%

Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	Botev Plovdiv
2-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.32% 5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.97% 6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.34% Total : 70.59%	1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.27%	1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 12.14%