Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Botev Plovdiv win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.