Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Botev Plovdiv win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.