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UEFA Conference League

Vitoria de Guimaraes
Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
3 - 0
Zrinjski Mostar

Mangas (46'), Borevkovic (51'), Mendes (88')
Borevkovic (12'), Mangas (37'), Santos (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Savic (23'), Sunjic (67')
Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Zrinjski Mostar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Zrinjski Mostar win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawZrinjski Mostar
53.93%24.45%21.61%
Both teams to score 49.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.29%51.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52%73.48%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89%19.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27%50.73%
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.33%38.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.59%75.41%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.92%
    Zrinjski Mostar 21.61%
    Draw 24.45%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawZrinjski Mostar
1-0 @ 12.22%
2-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.92%
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.02%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 21.61%