Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 31.57% ( | 27.67% ( | 40.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.42% ( | 57.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.65% ( | 78.36% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( | 33.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( | 70.13% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( | 27.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( | 63.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.57% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.76% |