Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 30, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 1
Benfica

Ofori (84', 84')
Alan (45+5'), Alan (45+5'), Frimpong (66'), Frimpong (66'), de Brito Gonzaga (90+6'), de Brito Gonzaga (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Leonardo (90+7' pen., 90+7' pen.)
Otamendi (31'), Otamendi (31'), Luis (43'), Luis (43'), Fernandez (61'), Fernandez (61'), Barreiro (76'), Barreiro (76'), Rollheiser (90+6'), Rollheiser (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 3-1 Moreirense
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Benfica
20.91% ( -0.01)	22.75% ( 0.01)	56.34% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52% (

-0.05)

45.48% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19% (

-0.05)

67.81% (

0.05)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.16% (

-0.04)

35.84% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.38% (

-0.04)

72.61% (

0.03)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05% (

-0.02)

15.95% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.77% (

-0.04)

45.22% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 20.91%

Benfica 56.34%

Draw 22.74%

Moreirense	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 20.91%	1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.74%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 56.34%