Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 17, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 0
Casa Pia

Pavlidis (70'), Gouveia (80'), Aursnes (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Segovia (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Benfica
Sunday, August 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Boavista
Saturday, August 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 7.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Casa Pia
80.1% ( 1.49)	12.48% ( -0.65)	7.42% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 52.38% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.8% (

0.03)

28.2% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.01% (

0.04)

48.99% (

-0.04)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.57% (

0.27)

5.43% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.75% (

0.76)

21.25% (

-0.76)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.38% (

-1.98)

44.62% (

1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.38% (

-1.64)

80.62% (

1.64)

Score Analysis

Benfica 80.09%

Casa Pia 7.42%

Draw 12.48%

Benfica	Draw	Casa Pia
2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.33) 5-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.19) 6-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.91% Total : 80.09%	1-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) Other @ 1.02% Total : 12.48%	1-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.27% Total : 7.42%