Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.87%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Feyenoord
43.14% ( -0.51)	22.39% ( 0.03)	34.47% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 67.12% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.7% (

0.02)

33.3% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.93% (

0.02)

55.07% (

-0.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84% (

-0.19)

16.16% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.38% (

-0.35)

45.62% (

0.35)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

0.26)

19.94% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91% (

0.41)

52.09% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Benfica 43.14%

Feyenoord 34.47%

Draw 22.39%

Benfica	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 43.14%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.47%