Benfica
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Brentford logo

Benfica
1 - 1
Brentford

Pavlidis (25')
Aursnes (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mbeumo (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Benfica and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Almeria
Sunday, July 21 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-5 Brentford
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawBrentford
67.04% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)17.37% (0.044 0.04)15.59% (0.071 0.07)
Both teams to score 63% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.05% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)28.94% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.09% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)49.91% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.96% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)8.04% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.7% (-0.104 -0.1)28.3% (0.105 0.11)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04)31.49% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (0.042999999999999 0.04)67.88% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 67.04%
    Brentford 15.59%
    Draw 17.37%
BenficaDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 67.04%
1-1 @ 7.37% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 17.37%
1-2 @ 4.26% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 2.92% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 15.59%

How you voted: Benfica vs Brentford

Benfica
56.8%
Draw
21.6%
Brentford
21.6%
37
rhs 2.0


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