Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.