Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 1.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Joe Lewis 2' goal
  • Mathew Stevens 81' goal
  • goal Thiago 23'
  • goal Thiago 31'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 45'
  • goal Kevin Schade 66'
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 75'

AFC Wimbledon vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2024 7.15pm
Met Police 0 - 3 AFC Wimbledon

Brentford

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 49.74% (-0.03)
Draw 23.72% (-0.01)
Brentford 26.53% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.41% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.97% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.02% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.59% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.41% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.22% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 82.77% (-0.03)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 82.2% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.8% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.48% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.52% (-0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 69.84% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.16% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 33.69% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 66.31% (-0.05)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 49.74%
Draw 23.72%
Brentford 26.53%
AFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 49.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.72%
Brentford
1-2 @ 6.66% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 17, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Joel Valencia 42'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 5, 2019 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal William Nightingale 56' (OG)
  • goal Christian Norgaard 82'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 84'
EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul Robinson 25' goal
  • Adedeji Oshilaja 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Romaine Sawyers 60'
  • goal Romaine Sawyers 69'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 105'
  • goal Justin Shaibu 119'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Sep 3, 2013 7.00pm
5
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Farid El Allagui 42' goal
  • Luke Norris 52' goal
  • Farid El Allagui 54' goal
  • Ben Nugent 64' goal
  • Javier Venta 69' goal
  • goal Jim Fenlon 56'
  • goal George Francomb 82'
  • goal Peter Sweeney 90'