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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
AFC Wimbledon

Swindon
3 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Drinan (51'), Devoy (71', 84')
Godwin-Malife (60'), Devoy (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lewis (2', 87')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Swindon
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
45.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.8% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 57.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.22% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)44.78% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)67.14% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)19.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)51.65% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)28.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)63.91% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 45.83%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.8%
    Draw 24.36%
Swindon TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 45.83%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.8%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
AFC Wimbledon
4-0
Swindon
Bugiel (6'), Little (59'), Al-Hamadi (79', 90+2')
Neufville (13'), Al-Hamadi (90+3')

Blake-Tracy (13')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
AFC Wimbledon
1-5
Swindon
Pierre (8')
Jephcott (16' pen., 32'), Wakeling (18'), Clayton (61'), Darcy (90+2' pen.)
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
4-1
Swindon
Pigott (20' pen., 54'), Nightingale (26'), Assal (44')
McLoughlin (90+3')
Smith (79')
Grounds (20'), Lyden (26'), Pitman (45+2')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swindon
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Stevens (19')
Pigott (28')
McLoughlin (66')