League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Newport

O'Toole (20')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morris (9'), Jameson (55')
Lewis (36'), Jameson (36'), Bennett (45'), Payne (70')

Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 5-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Newport County
56.26% ( 0.01)	23.23%	20.51% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.78% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

-0.01)

48.03% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.8% (

-0.01)

70.2% (

0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.12%

16.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.09%

46.91% (

-0)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.29% (

-0.01)

37.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.52% (

-0.01)

74.48% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 56.26%

Newport County 20.51%

Draw 23.23%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.83% 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 0.95% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.03% Total : 56.26%	1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.23%	0-1 @ 6.21% 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 20.51%