Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gillingham win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 34.27% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.82%).
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Gillingham |
34.27% ( -1.01) | 25.11% ( -0.1) | 40.62% ( 1.1) |
Both teams to score 57.01% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.53% ( 0.28) | 46.47% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.25% ( 0.26) | 68.75% ( -0.26) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% ( -0.46) | 26.19% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% ( -0.62) | 61.28% ( 0.62) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% ( 0.67) | 22.76% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.56% ( 0.99) | 56.44% ( -0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |