League Two

League Two | Gameweek 33

Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
2 - 2
Swindon

Hawkins (68'), Mahoney (79' pen.)
Dieng (52'), S (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McGurk (24'), McKirdy (90+4')
Blake-Tracy (78'), McEachran (83')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 1-3 Gillingham
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Salford City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Swindon Town
41.66% ( -0.19)	25.02% ( 0.05)	33.33% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 57.07% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.72% (

-0.2)

46.29% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.43% (

-0.19)

68.58% (

0.19)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

-0.18)

22.17% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.43% (

-0.27)

55.57% (

0.27)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.33% (

-0.01)

26.67% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.08% (

-0.02)

61.92% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 41.66%

Swindon Town 33.33%

Draw 25.01%

Gillingham	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.66%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.33%