MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 09:19:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
2 - 2
Colchester

Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Swindon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 0-2 Colchester United

 Colchester United will hope that Cowley's appointment has an immediate positive impact on the squad, and against a Swindon Town side who have just lost their two main attacking outlets at the start of the month, we fancy the visitors to prevail in their first game under new management this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
54.76% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11) 21.58% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 23.65% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.82% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.18% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)36.82% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.01% (-0.172 -0.17)58.99% (0.174 0.17)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)13.49% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (-0.172 -0.17)40.52% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)28.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)64.33% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.76%
    Colchester United 23.65%
    Draw 21.58%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')
> Preview
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Colchester
1-0
Swindon
Hannant (30')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Swindon
1-0
Colchester
Shade (64')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
> Preview
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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