League Two

League Two | Gameweek 28

Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
1 - 2
Gillingham

Henderson (50')
Gubbins (44'), Shipley (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Masterson (62'), Bonne (75')
Nichols (45'), Malone (82'), Nichols (90+1')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Bolton
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Gillingham 0-4 Sheff Utd
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Gillingham
37.55% ( 0.48)	25.52% ( 0.07)	36.93% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.94% (

-0.3)

48.05% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.78% (

-0.28)

70.22% (

0.28)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

0.13)

25.06% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.25% (

0.17)

59.75% (

-0.17)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-0.44)

25.4% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-0.61)

60.22% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 37.55%

Gillingham 36.93%

Draw 25.52%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.55%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.93%