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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Gillingham |
37.55% ( 0.48) | 25.52% ( 0.07) | 36.93% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 55.89% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.94% ( -0.3) | 48.05% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.78% ( -0.28) | 70.22% ( 0.28) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.13) | 25.06% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% ( 0.17) | 59.75% ( -0.17) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.59% ( -0.44) | 25.4% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.78% ( -0.61) | 60.22% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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