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Championship header 2

League Two

Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Gillingham

Notts County
1 - 3
Gillingham

Crowley (13')
Bostock (45+3'), McGoldrick (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hawkins (19'), Clark (35'), Masterson (53')
Clemence (0'), Dieng (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGillingham
51.55% (-0.169 -0.17)22.02% (0.053999999999998 0.05)26.43% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 63.37% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (-0.16 -0.16)36.12% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.77% (-0.174 -0.17)58.23% (0.172 0.17)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)14.27% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.95% (-0.216 -0.22)42.04% (0.213 0.21)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.55%
    Gillingham 26.43%
    Draw 22.02%
Notts CountyDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Notts County vs Gillingham

Notts County
81.8%
Draw
3.0%
Gillingham
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Gillingham
1-2
Notts County
Malone (52')
Malone (52'), Lapslie (77')
Langstaff (38'), Macarai (78')
O'Brien (84'), Cameron (90+6'), McGoldrick (90+6')
May 3, 2015 12.15pm
Gillingham
3-1
Notts County
Egan (88'), Dickenson (93'), Norris (95')
Egan (88')
Burke (61')
Adams (50'), Burke (61'), McCourt (92')
> Match Report
Oct 4, 2014 3pm
Notts County
1-0
Gillingham
Harrad (35')
Noble (32'), Carroll (81')

Hessenthaler (32'), Dickenson (56')
Dec 7, 2013 3pm
Notts County
3-1
Gillingham
McGregor (40', 54'), Grealish (89')
Grealish (87')
Dack (46')
> Match Report
Oct 22, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-1
Notts County
Whelpdale (24'), Kedwell (29')
Hollands (91')
McGregor (79')
Smith (72')