League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 0
Doncaster

Crowley (33'), Langstaff (44'), Nemane (53')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Close (75'), Bailey (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Notts County
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Bradford
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
52.16% ( 0.55)	21.02% ( -0.15)	26.81% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 67.51% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.13% (

0.4)

30.87% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.77% (

0.47)

52.23% (

-0.47)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.74% (

0.3)

12.25% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.02% (

0.62)

37.98% (

-0.62)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

-0.05)

23.05% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11% (

-0.07)

56.88% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Notts County 52.16%

Doncaster Rovers 26.81%

Draw 21.02%

Notts County	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 52.16%	1-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.02%	1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.81%