Doncaster Rovers
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
3 - 0
Forest U21s

Molyneux (43'), Hurst (74'), Ironside (84')
Bailey (28'), Biggins (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Larsson (24'), McDonnell (57'), Powell (75'), Norkett (82'), Norkett (82')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Doncaster Rovers and Nottingham Forest Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: West Ham U21s 3-1 Forest U21s
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
58.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)21.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.63% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.2% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)38.8% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.89% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)61.11% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)12.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)39.5% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)32.61% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-0.055 -0.05)69.15% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 58.6%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 20.3%
    Draw 21.09%
Doncaster RoversDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.73%
3-0 @ 6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.43%
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.4%
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 58.6%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 20.3%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!