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Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Notts County

Stockport
2 - 1
Notts County

Wootton (7'), Madden (86' pen.)
Croasdale (36'), Byrne (55'), Pye (56'), Richardson (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGoldrick (90+3')
Bostock (76'), Cameron (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stockport County in this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawNotts County
53.37% (0.050000000000004 0.05)22.65%23.98% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55% (-0.052 -0.05)41.45% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)63.85% (0.052 0.05)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)44.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)30.81% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)67.08% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 53.37%
    Notts County 23.98%
    Draw 22.64%
Stockport CountyDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.98%

How you voted: Stockport vs Notts County

Stockport County
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stockport
3-0
Notts County
Madden (28', 71'), Crankshaw (48')
Sarcevic (53'), Madden (83')

Palmer (42'), Francis (52')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
2-1
Stockport
Wootton (54'), Vincent (68')
Rawlinson (18'), Wootton (63')
Whitfield (90+3' pen.)
Keane (20'), Hogan (50'), Quigley (60')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
Stockport
Reeves (35')
Rawlinson (40')

Kitching (45+1'), Palmer (69'), Thomas (79')
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm