League Two

League Two | Gameweek 31

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
1 - 0
Notts County

Keillor-Dunn (8')
Keillor-Dunn (50'), Clarke (59'), Flint (86'), Boateng (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 1-1 Barrow
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.02%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 20.84% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Notts County
60.02% ( 0.44)	19.14% ( -0.09)	20.84% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 66.98% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.56% (

-0.02)

28.44% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.71% (

-0.02)

49.29% (

0.03)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.56% (

0.1)

9.44% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.29% (

0.23)

31.71% (

-0.22)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96% (

-0.29)

26.04% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.92% (

-0.39)

61.08% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 60.02%

Notts County 20.84%

Draw 19.14%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.14% Total : 60.02%	1-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.49% Total : 19.14%	1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 20.84%