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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Morecambe win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 21.06% ( | 22.28% ( | 56.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.78% ( | 43.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.38% ( | 65.62% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% ( | 34.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.88% ( | 71.13% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% ( | 15.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.43% ( | 43.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 2-1 @ 5.58% 1-0 @ 5.53% ( 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.09% Total : 21.06% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0-0 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0-2 @ 9.29% 1-3 @ 6.25% 0-3 @ 5.86% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.96% 0-4 @ 2.77% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 1.12% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 56.66% |