League Two

League Two | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
2 - 2
Harrogate

Slew (57'), Bedeau (90+2')
Brannan (0'), Slew (87'), Songo'o (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Muldoon (44', 44'), Thomson (83')
Burrell (90+4'), Belshaw (90+3'), Burrell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 5-0 Morecambe
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Tranmere
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Harrogate Town
41.55% ( 0.02)	25.73% ( -0.02)	32.72% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.42% (

0.1)

49.58% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39% (

0.09)

71.6% (

-0.08)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

0.05)

23.66% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.23% (

0.07)

57.76% (

-0.07)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.34% (

0.05)

28.66% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.53% (

0.07)

64.47% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 41.55%

Harrogate Town 32.72%

Draw 25.73%

Morecambe	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.55%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.72%