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Championship header 2

League Two
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Harrogate Town

Morecambe
2 - 2
Harrogate

Slew (57'), Bedeau (90+2')
Brannan (0'), Slew (87'), Songo'o (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muldoon (44'), Thomson (83')
Burrell (90+4'), Belshaw (90+3'), Burrell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 5-0 Morecambe
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Tranmere
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Harrogate Town

 With just one point separating Morecambe and Harrogate Town in the table, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Mazuma Mobile Stadium with both sides going all out in search of a morale-boosting result. Both teams are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will settle for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
41.55% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 25.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 32.72% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (0.097000000000001 0.1)49.58% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (0.089000000000002 0.09)71.6% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)23.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (0.074000000000005 0.07)57.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)28.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.065999999999995 0.07)64.47% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 41.55%
    Harrogate Town 32.72%
    Draw 25.73%
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Harrogate
2-0
Morecambe
Armstrong (20' pen.), Thomson (66')
Sutton (47'), Falkingham (82'), Oxley (83')

Bedeau (20'), Rawson (20'), Major (45+4'), Love (90+1')
Rawson (64')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
2-1
Morecambe
O'Boyle (28'), Welch-Hayes (90+6')
Major (2')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Harrogate
0-1
Morecambe

Jones (72')
Smith (1' og.)
Knight-Percival (39'), Stockton (45'), Gibson (89'), O'Sullivan (90+4')
Knight-Percival (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Morecambe
1-0
Harrogate
Wildig (56')
Wildig (84'), Halstead (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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