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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 63.38% ( | 19.79% ( | 16.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.54% ( | 38.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.25% ( | 60.75% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( | 11.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.53% ( | 36.47% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% ( | 36.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.11% ( | 72.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 1-0 @ 9% ( 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 4-1 @ 3.84% ( 4-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 5-0 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 4.17% Total : 63.38% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.79% | 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 1-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 16.82% |