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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 59.29% ( | 21.56% ( | 19.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( | 42.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( | 65.1% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.95% ( | 14.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.38% ( | 41.61% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% ( | 36.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.17% ( | 72.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 3-0 @ 6.38% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 5-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 59.29% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 19.14% |