Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 73.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 10.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Sutton United |
73.78% ( 1.17) | 16.15% ( -0.49) | 10.06% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 49.49% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.32% ( 0.22) | 37.67% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.09% ( 0.23) | 59.91% ( -0.24) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.22% ( 0.32) | 8.77% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.87% ( 0.78) | 30.12% ( -0.79) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.25% ( -1.17) | 45.75% ( 1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.47% ( -0.93) | 81.52% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Sutton United |
2-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.09) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 73.77% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.15% | 0-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.76% Total : 10.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |