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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 73.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 10.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Sutton United |
| 73.78% ( | 16.15% ( | 10.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.32% ( | 37.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.09% ( | 59.91% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.22% ( | 8.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.87% ( | 30.12% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.25% ( | 45.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.47% ( | 81.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-0 @ 11.88% ( 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 3-0 @ 9.64% ( 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 4-0 @ 5.86% ( 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 5-0 @ 2.85% ( 5-1 @ 2.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 6-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 73.77% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 2-2 @ 3.63% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.15% | 0-1 @ 3.14% ( 1-2 @ 2.99% ( 0-2 @ 1.23% ( 2-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 10.06% |