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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Mansfield Town

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 1
Mansfield

Bugiel (45+2'), Curtis (90+6')
Jackson (0'), Little (68'), Sasu (72'), Lewis (86'), Curtis (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Swan (62')
Reed (45+1'), Brunt (58'), Quinn (82'), Boateng (90+9'), Keillor-Dunn (90+9')
Bowery (20'), Quinn (90+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Sutton
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMansfield Town
29.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)24.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)45.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.74% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.68% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.04% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.009999999999998 0.01)63.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)19.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 29.75%
    Mansfield Town 45.9%
    Draw 24.33%
AFC WimbledonDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 7.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.75%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.05%
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 45.9%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Mansfield
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Bowery (51'), Cargill (90+4')
Jackson (52'), Currie (54'), Johnson (66')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Mansfield
Al-Hamadi (25')
Harbottle (30'), Johnson (66'), Keillor-Dunn (77')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Mansfield
5-2
AFC Wimbledon
Oates (32' pen.), Lapslie (40'), Maris (56'), Harbottle (70'), Swan (87')
Quinn (45+1'), McLaughlin (45+3')
Davison (4', 16')
Marsh (28'), Currie (31'), Brown (45+4'), Ogundere (82')
Gunter (45')
Jan 16, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
3-1
Mansfield
Taylor (49'), Meades (78'), Azeez (87')
Osborne (10'), Meades (49'), Azeez (82')
Green (11')
Sep 5, 2015 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Clements (15')
Chapman (51'), Rose (55'), Green (73'), Hunt (79')
Elliott (6')
Robinson (15'), Reeves (35'), Francomb (45')
Taylor (94')