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Championship header 2

League Two

MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
AFC Wimbledon

MK Dons
3 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Kemp (10'), Johnson (16' og.), O'Hora (22')
Payne (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Little (53')
Tilley (56')
Biler (65'), Kalambayi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawAFC Wimbledon
46.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.75%29.53%
Both teams to score 59.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)42.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.5% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.26% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96%27.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)62.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 46.72%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.53%
    Draw 23.75%
MK DonsDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 8.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 46.72%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.53%

How you voted: MK Dons vs AFC Wimbledon

MK Dons
39.1%
Draw
13.0%
AFC Wimbledon
47.8%
23
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
MK Dons
Woodyard (19')
Heneghan (36'), Assal (45+1'), Marsh (67')
Parrott (80')
Harvie (40'), O'Hora (45+1')
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
MK Dons
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
O'Riley (29')

Guinness-Walker (23')
Guinness-Walker (36')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
MK Dons

Guinness-Walker (50'), Reilly (73')
O'Riley (60'), Sorinola (63')
Laird (52')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Fraser (13')
Sorinola (34'), Harvie (90+3')
Pigott (10')
Reilly (31')
Apr 18, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 44
AFC Wimbledon
P-P
MK Dons
rhs 2.0


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