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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for MK Dons in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
| 36.27% ( | 24.48% ( | 39.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.75% ( | 43.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.35% ( | 65.65% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( | 23.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.38% ( | 57.62% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( | 22.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.65% ( | 55.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 4-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 36.27% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0-2 @ 5.94% ( 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 3% ( 1-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.25% |