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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
| 34.18% ( | 24.9% ( | 40.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% ( | 45.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% ( | 67.9% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( | 25.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( | 60.78% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( | 22.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( | 55.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.18% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.92% |