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Championship header 2

League Two

MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Crawley Town

MK Dons
2 - 0
Crawley

Tomlinson (2'), Gilbey (82')
Dean (17'), Grant (18'), Gilbey (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maguire (7'), Lindsey (8')
Maguire (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Colchester
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Crawley
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
53.52% (0.060000000000002 0.06)22.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28% (0.045999999999999 0.05)40.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.9% (0.048000000000002 0.05)63.1% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77% (0.037000000000006 0.04)15.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.1% (0.070999999999998 0.07)43.9% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)30.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)66.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.52%
    Crawley Town 24%
    Draw 22.48%
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crawley

MK Dons
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Crawley Town
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crawley
2-1
MK Dons
Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Crawley
2-2
MK Dons
McLeod (14' pen., 48')
Tomlin (90')
Grigg (76'), Alli (90')
Alli (87'), Grigg (90'), Baker (90')
Aug 30, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Alli (15'), Afobe (92')
Powell (64'), Carruthers (89')
McFadzean (69')

Henderson (25'), Tomlin (39'), Harrold (89')
rhs 2.0


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