/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrawlog.png)
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Joe Tomlinson
2'
-
Max Dean
17'
-
Conor Grant
18'
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Alex Gilbey
61'
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Alex Gilbey
82'
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Laurence Maguire
7'
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Scott Lindsey
8'
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Laurence Maguire
85'
MK Dons vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fscott-lindsey.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result
MK Dons
53.52%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
22.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Crawley Town
24%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
59%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.28%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
40.72%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
36.9%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
63.1%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
19.7%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
80.3%
▼
(-0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
84.77%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
15.23%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
56.1%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
43.9%
▼
(-0.08)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
69.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
30.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
33.4%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
66.6%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
MK Dons
53.52%
Draw
22.48%
Crawley Town
24%
MK Dons
2-1
@
9.76%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 53.52%
1-0 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 53.52%
Draw
1-1
@
10.37%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.48%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.48%
Crawley Town
1-2
@
6.18%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24%