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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
61.62% ( 0.93) | 21.16% ( -0.25) | 17.22% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56% ( -0.08) | 44% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.61% ( -0.08) | 66.38% ( 0.07) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.24% ( 0.26) | 13.75% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.96% ( 0.51) | 41.04% ( -0.52) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.01% ( -0.86) | 38.98% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.29% ( -0.82) | 75.71% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 61.61% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.16% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |