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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
| 61.62% ( | 21.16% ( | 17.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( | 44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.61% ( | 66.38% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( | 13.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.96% ( | 41.04% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.01% ( | 38.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.29% ( | 75.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 5-1 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 61.61% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.16% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.22% |