/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fswilog.png)
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Shane McLoughlin
3'
-
Scot Bennett
39'
-
Will Evans
53'
-
Seb Palmer-Houlden
74'
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Paul Glatzel
46'
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Williams Kokolo
51'
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Dawson Devoy
72'
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Jack Bycroft
75'
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Saidou Khan
77'
Newport County vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result
Newport County
37.24%
▲
(+0.60)
Draw
23.13%
▼
(-0.17)
Swindon Town
39.63%
▼
(-0.43)
Both Teams to Score:
64.8%
▲
(+0.70)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.45%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 2.5
36.55%
▼
(-0.88)
Over 3.5
41.3%
▲
(+0.95)
Under 3.5
58.7%
▼
(-0.95)
Over 4.5
23.2%
▲
(+0.77)
Under 4.5
76.8%
▼
(-0.77)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
79.95%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 0.5
20.05%
▼
(-0.68)
Over 1.5
47.72%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 1.5
52.28%
▼
(-1.08)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
81.05%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
18.95%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 1.5
49.53%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
50.47%
▼
(-0.31)
Score analysis
Newport County
37.24%
Draw
23.13%
Swindon Town
39.63%
Newport County
2-1
@
8.16%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 37.24%
1-0 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 37.24%
Draw
1-1
@
10.15%
▼
(-0.17)
2-2 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.13%
2-2 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.13%
Swindon Town
1-2
@
8.45%
▼
(-0.09)
0-1 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 39.63%
0-1 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 39.63%