League Two

League Two | Gameweek 31

Feb 3, 2024 at 12.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 1
Swindon

Evans (53'), Palmer-Houlden (74')
McLoughlin (3'), Bennett (39')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Glatzel (46')
Kokolo (51'), Devoy (72'), Bycroft (75'), Khan (77')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 2-4 Man Utd
Sunday, January 28 at 4.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 2-0 Bradford
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Swindon Town
37.24% ( 0.59)	23.13% ( -0.16)	39.63% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 64.8% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.45% (

0.87)

36.55% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.3% (

0.95)

58.7% (

-0.95)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.95% (

0.67)

20.05% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.72% (

1.07)

52.28% (

-1.07)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05% (

0.18)

18.95% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.53% (

0.3)

50.47% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Newport County 37.24%

Swindon Town 39.63%

Draw 23.13%

Newport County	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 37.24%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 39.63%