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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Notts County

Newport
1 - 3
Notts County

Evans (90' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Langstaff (22', 59'), McGoldrick (35')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-3 Newport
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 1-3 Gillingham
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 38.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.1%) and 3-1 (4.79%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawNotts County
39.2% (0.87 0.87)22.09% (-0.214 -0.21)38.7% (-0.65799999999999 -0.66)
Both teams to score 69.03% (0.864 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.9% (1.115 1.11)31.09% (-1.116 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.5% (1.308 1.31)52.49% (-1.31 -1.31)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (0.84399999999999 0.84)16.81% (-0.846 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.21% (1.486 1.49)46.78% (-1.487 -1.49)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (0.199 0.2)17.01% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84% (0.351 0.35)47.15% (-0.353 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 39.2%
    Notts County 38.7%
    Draw 22.09%
Newport CountyDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.1% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.55% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.24% (0.151 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.117 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.06 0.06)
4-3 @ 1.12% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-2 @ 7.13% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.86% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-3 @ 2.5% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 8% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-3 @ 4.21% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.11% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 38.7%

How you voted: Newport vs Notts County

Newport County
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Notts County
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Notts County
3-0
Newport
Crowley (24'), Langstaff (34', 54')

Payne (37')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Notts County
1-4
Newport
Hemmings (10')
Franks (9'), Matt (15', 33'), Amond (47')
Labadie (24'), Bennett (27'), Franks (55')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newport
3-2
Notts County
Franks (24'), Harris (26'), Matt (90')
Sheehan (29'), Bakinson (48')
Hemmings (12'), Dennis (87')
Husin (70')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Newport
0-0
Notts County
Pipe (35'), Labadie (88')
Stead (51')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Notts County
3-0
Newport
Grant (36', 55'), Ameobi (52')
Tootle (57'), Duffy (67')

Nouble (42'), Demetriou (62')
Butler (34')
rhs 2.0


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