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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Newport County |
| 45.89% ( | 25.47% ( | 28.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.82% ( | 50.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.86% ( | 72.14% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( | 21.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% ( | 55.1% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( | 31.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% ( | 68.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.34% Total : 45.88% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.64% |