League Two

League Two | Gameweek 36

Mar 2, 2024 at 12.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
MK Dons

Curtis (90+4')
Little (28'), Kelly (36'), Bugiel (77'), Reeves (85'), O'Toole (90+2'), Curtis (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (4'), Wearne (29'), Harvie (55'), Lofthouse (56'), Gilbey (65'), Norman (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	MK Dons
44.82% ( -0.19)	24.44% ( 0.17)	30.74% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.39% (

-0.76)

44.6% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03% (

-0.73)

66.97% (

0.73)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.97% (

-0.39)

20.02% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.77% (

-0.63)

52.23% (

0.63)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

-0.36)

27.48% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.01% (

-0.47)

62.98% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 44.82%

MK Dons 30.74%

Draw 24.43%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	MK Dons
2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.94% Total : 44.82%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.74%