Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 37.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.89%).
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | MK Dons |
37.47% ( -0.59) | 23.93% ( -0.14) | 38.6% ( 0.73) |
Both teams to score 61.73% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.47% ( 0.69) | 40.53% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.09% ( 0.7) | 62.91% ( -0.7) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% ( 0.01) | 21.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.13% ( 0.02) | 54.87% ( -0.01) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.85% ( 0.66) | 21.15% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.99% ( 1.02) | 54.01% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 38.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |