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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MK Dons in this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 56.48% ( | 21.55% ( | 21.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.3% ( | 38.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39% ( | 61% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% ( | 13.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.28% ( | 40.71% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( | 31.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% ( | 67.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 3-1 @ 6.54% ( 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 5-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.96% |