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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 42.9% ( | 24.38% ( | 32.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.42% ( | 43.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.03% ( | 65.96% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( | 20.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% ( | 52.9% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( | 25.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( | 60.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.71% |