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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Barrow |
| 43.06% ( | 24.64% ( | 32.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( | 44.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% ( | 67.22% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( | 20.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( | 53.64% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( | 26.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.15% ( | 61.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Barrow |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 2-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.7% Total : 43.06% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.3% |