EFL Trophy
Jan 30, 2024 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Malik Mothersille 2' goal
  • Ephron Mason-Clark 4' goal
  • Josh Knight 83' yellowcard
  • Ricky Jade-Jones 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Jimmy Ball 10'
  • goal Ryan McLean 89'

Peterborough United vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result

Peterborough United 58.93% (-0.04)
Draw 20.75% (+0.02)
AFC Wimbledon 20.31% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.9% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.85% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 37.15% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 40.64% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 59.35% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 22.66% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 77.34% (+0.03)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 87.63% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 12.37% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 61.77% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 38.22% (+0.04)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 68.35% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.64% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.94% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.05% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Peterborough United 58.93%
Draw 20.75%
AFC Wimbledon 20.31%
Peterborough United
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.18% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 58.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.92% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.75%
AFC Wimbledon
1-2 @ 5.42% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 20.31%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 30
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT ABAX Stadium
  • Sammie Szmodics 49' goal
  • Sammie Szmodics 52' goal
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 90' goal
  • yellowcard George Dobson 42'
League One Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2020 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
  • Ryan Longman 54' goal
  • Joe Pigott 60' goal
  • Will Nightingale 62' yellowcard
  • Alex Woodyard 84' yellowcard
  • goal Jonson Clarke-Harris 71'
League One Gameweek 28
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Pigott 58' goal
  • Nathan Trott 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sammie Szmodics 74'
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 85'
League One Gameweek 11
Sep 28, 2019 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marcus Maddison 29' goal
  • Mohamed Eisa 41' goal
  • Mohamed Eisa 66' goal
  • yellowcard Kwesi Appiah 23'
  • yellowcard Ryan Delaney 33'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Neill 38'
  • yellowcard Callum Reilly 44'
  • yellowcard Anthony Wordsworth 50'
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 52'
  • goal Anthony Wordsworth 78'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium (Kingston upon Thames, Surrey)
  • Toby Sibbick 76' yellowcard
  • Joe Pigott 87' goal
  • yellowcard Marcus Maddison 74'
  • redcard Rhys Bennett 85'
  • yellowcard Danny Lafferty 86'
  • yellowcard Louis Reed 93'
League One Gameweek 20
Nov 27, 2018 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT ABAX Stadium (Peterborough)
  • Marcus Maddison 60' goal