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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 67.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 67.09% ( | 18.72% ( | 14.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.16% ( | 38.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.85% ( | 61.15% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% ( | 10.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.42% ( | 34.58% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.28% ( | 39.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.6% ( | 76.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 1-0 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 7.91% ( 3-1 @ 7.3% ( 4-0 @ 4.42% ( 4-1 @ 4.08% ( 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 5-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 5-1 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 4.41% Total : 67.09% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.72% | 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 1-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.19% |